Aussie Women's Final

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Rx. Senior
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Sep 20, 2003
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Why is Henin-Hardenne such a big favorite over Clijsters? Is it purely on the ankle issue?

Looking at their form and their head-to-heads, Clisters is superior on hard courts 6-3, and last year they played 8 times, each winning 4.

It seems to me, the ankle issue must be swaying the linesmakers.

Looking at Justine's recent form, she hasn't exactly been setting the world on fire. And although she has looked dominant at times here, she's also faced awful competition.

Outside of Davenport (whom she was down 0-4 by the way), she's faced NO ONE. Clisters gritted out a performance against a likely top-5 Myskina. She hasn't faced a bunch of world beaters but Schnyder, Farina-Elia, and Safina are certainly better in class than Zuluaga, Santangello, and Kuznetzova.

Clisters hasn't dropped a set and mowed through every one of her opponents.

Now, I must make a disclaimer in that I have Clijsters on a future wager, and I could hedge, but I'm still on the fence because I can really see Clijsters winning here.
 

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Sep 21, 2004
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i've got a dime on a future on kim at a nice price. I will let it ride. i don't believe in hedging.
 

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Sep 21, 2004
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I do believe in hedging and was glad I did with Safin at +240. I had really liked Agassi too. Who else was better to exploit a player coming off several long matches. I was wrong and by hedging, cut my losses by more than half, with minimal risk.

HH seems to be metally tougher than Kim, winning the bigger matches. Kim peaked earlier and Justine is much stronger now.

I'm alive with HH on a couple of parlays (Federer, Bryan/Bryan) and deciding how much to hedge with Kim, if at all. She will have crowd support and HH has not been at her best, but I still like Justine under the pressure of a final. Remember her beating Capriati on one leg with little rest?
 

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